Connect with us

Football

Best Bets: Wisconsin Football vs. Georgia Southern Eagles

Here are this week’s best bets for the Wisconsin #Badgers week three showdown vs. Georgia Southern, courtesy of DraftKings.

Published

on

Wisconsin Badgers Football
Sep 9, 2023; Pullman, Washington, USA; Wisconsin Badgers wide receiver Skyler Bell (11) and Wisconsin Badgers wide receiver Bryson Green (9) celebrate after a touchdown against the Washington State Cougars in the second half at Gesa Field at Martin Stadium. Washington State won 31-22. Mandatory Credit: James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

The Wisconsin football progrum did it again. Not only breaking me mentally and emotionally but falling to Washington State for the second time in as many years.

The defense looked lost in the 1st half and didn’t force a turnover for the second week in a row. It’s not something we Badgers fans are accustomed to, nor should we be. Miss you Jim.

The offense was just as bad in the 1st half, if not worse.

Braelon Allen had seven carries and six catches for a total of 31 yards. Phil Longo seems to think he’s better suited as a wide receiver.

Ron Stone Jr. had Jack Nelson in a blender all night, recording two sacks and two forced fumbles.

Tanner Mordecai did his best Graham Mertz impression in the first half but did bounce back in the second half and made some nice plays.

I know this is a new regime for the Badgers, and I should show more patience. But I have the same disgusted feeling in my veins as I did after week two of last season, and it hurts.

The fact I went 2-7-0 last week doesn’t help the cause.

PSA: I’m a big dumb idiot, but Gambling is hard — especially when you’re one of the few, the proud, and the brave to place six bets on one game (respect the troops).

On to the week two best bet results…

Wisconsin Football Week Two Gambling Results

Losers:

Game Total Over 59 (-112) – Came six points short of this hitting. If the Badger’s first half wasn’t so pitiful, this would’ve smashed.

Wisconsin Team Total Touchdowns over 4.5 (+130) – I thought the Badgers would score over 35 points. They didn’t and only scored two touchdowns.

This was a stupid bet.

Wisconsin Football -6 vs. Washington State (-108) – This was my best bet of the week. I thought the Badgers would boat race Wazzu.

Turns out Wazzu is for real, and Wisconsin football will endure some growing pains.

James Madison -6(-105) vs. Virginia – Looked good early as JMU got out to a quick 14-point lead. Then they fell behind by 11 points early in the third quarter.

Then of course, they scored two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to win the game by one point.

Gambling is fun. It’s so much fun.

Alabama -7.5 vs. Texas (-105) – Texas is back…God damnit.

Braelon Allen over 101.5 rush yards (-115) and Braelon Allen over 2 touchdowns(+135) – I don’t want to talk about it.

Winners:

It’s plural this week! We have to take any wins we can at this point.

Colorado -3 vs. Nebraska (-112) – Thankfully, I had the most money overall on this game, so the week wasn’t as bad as it could’ve been.

The Buffs started slow but started to figure it out late in the second quarter and never looked back. Beating the Huskers 36-14.

Will Pauling over 35.5 receiving yards (-115) – Couldn’t believe the number was this low. Pauling is clearly Mordecai’s favorite target, not named Braelon Allen.

Pauling cashed this ticket easily, recording five receptions for 78 yards.

Wisconsin Football Best Bets vs. Georgia Southern

I’m writing this a little later in the week than usual, so there are actually some player props out for the game!

These odds are on the DraftKings SportsBook as of Friday at 7:55 p.m.

Wisconsin Football -20 vs. Georgia Southern (-110) – The line has moved from -19 to -20 since Tuesday, which makes me hate this bet.

I think Georgia Southern isn’t getting enough credit. They’re no pushovers. If the Badgers start slow, I could see them keeping it a game.

However, I have to take the Badgers -20.

Maybe it’s because I’m six feet from the edge…but hey, maybe six feet ain’t so far down.

Game Total Under 65 (-110) – This is my best bet of the week.

Like the spread, this line moved up a whole point since Tuesday, which is great since I like the under here.

The new clock rules have unders hitting at an all-time high (If I’m wrong, blame @JasonC_Long, who gave me this stat).

Scoring 65 points is a crazy number for Wisconsin Football, no matter who the coach is.

Also praying for Phil Longo to establish the run much, much more this week.

Wisconsin Badgers Player Props

I threw in a same-game parlay for shits and giggles since I don’t like any bets besides the under from this game.

Chez Mellusi Rushing Yards over 64.5 (+125) – Think the Badgers return to the recipe that won them the game against Buffalo and rely on their backfield.

Chez is super talented, and the coaching staff has no problem giving him plenty of looks.

Braelon Allen over 99.5 rushing yards (+115) – Allen can’t be happy about his usage against Wazzu. I look for the coaching staff to right their wrongs and give him 20+ carries and for Allen to prove a point.

Will Pauling over 49.5 receiving yards(+100) – Pauling has hit over 49.5 yards in both games this season, even with Allen and Mellusi totaling 368 yards against Buffalo.

Davis Brin over 274.5 passing yards (+150) – Georgia Southern averages 308 yards per game through the air compared to 159 per game rushing.

The Wisconsin secondary has been less than impressive, aside from Ricardo Hallman. If Georgia Southern wants to beat Wisconsin football, their passing game is the best option.

Tanner Mordecai Under 254.5 passing yards(-130) – As I mentioned before, I expect Wisconsin to run the ball heavily in this game.

The best thing for Tanner would be to manage this game properly, come away with zero turnovers, and maybe hit a big shot or two downfield on a play-action.

Game Total Under 64.5 (+100) – Different odds using the same game parlay, and I couldn’t love it more.

Other CFB Bets I Like

Colorado -24 vs. Colorado State (-110) – Colorado State is my second favorite college football team due to the ungodly hours @dillongraff I spent building a dynasty with them on NCAA Football 14.

Colorado is the clear pick here, though, after Colorado State made it personal.

Hawaii vs. Oregon Game Total Over 68 (-110) – Hawaii is giving up over 30 points per game but is scoring over 25 per game. Oregon will put up 81 again if they can.

East Carolina vs. Appalachian State Game Total Over 47.5 (-110) – Appalachian State scores nearly 40 points per game but allows 32 points scored per game.

East Carolina is only scoring eight points per game, but I’m hoping they can take advantage of App State’s poor defense and score just enough to hit the over.

If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Always bet responsibly.

Badgers Country. Let’s ride.


Football

The Implications of Chez Mellusi’s Injury for Wisconsin Football

Published

on

Wisconsin football; Badgers running back Chez Mellusi suffers devastating injury
Sep 22, 2023; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Wisconsin Badgers running back Chez Mellusi (1) is taken off the field in a cart after suffering an injury during the second half at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Goddin-USA TODAY Sports

The Wisconsin football program is heading into the bye week on a high note with a 38-17 win over Purdue. The Badgers showed some flashes of potential in their Big Ten opener, but the biggest storyline coming out of the game was the injury to Chez Mellusi

The injury looked bad on replay, but the cart coming out for the former Clemson transfer, along with an air cast being placed on his leg, heightened fears for the worst. Ultimately, it was confirmed that Mellusi would miss the rest of the 2023 season with a fractured fibula.

Mellusi’s fracture marked his third significant injury during his tenure with the Badgers. He was named the starter in 2021 after transferring in from Clemson but ultimately suffered a season-ending ACL tear. He would return for his 2022 campaign but miss four games in the middle of the season due to a broken arm. Now, just four games into the season, Mellusi will miss the final eight games of the regular season. 

Where Does Wisconsin Football Go From Here?

Without Mellusi, UW will look to its young talent to replicate his production, which could be challenging. The fifth-year senior logged 51 carries for 307 yards and four touchdowns through four games. He also tacked on three receptions for 12 yards. 

Mellusi did earn a bulk of the carries through four games, with Braleon Allen dinged up. Luckily, Allen looks to be back to his usual self, so they won’t need to rely on a younger back to take the majority of the carries. Still, the depth is a big question mark for Wisconsin’s running back room now. 

Behind Allen, the Badgers have Jackson Acker, Cade Yacamelli, Grover Bortolotti, and Nate White to fill out the rotation. 

Acker, a redshirt sophomore, has sparingly seen some time on the field as the RB3. The Madison native has appeared in three games thus far, logging eight carries for 31 yards as well as one reception for three yards. As the RB3, he’ll be expected to step up in the wake of Mellusi’s injury when Allen needs a breather. 

Converted safety Cade Yacamelli will be the likely candidate to fill Acker’s shoes in the RB3 role. He hasn’t appeared in any offensive snaps thus far, but he has seen some time on the field with special teams. Reports out of spring and fall camp indicated that Yacamelli had something in the tank as a running back, but it remains to be seen in live game reps. 

It’s not the best situation for Wisconsin to be in, but UW does have plenty of contributors at tailback who could take some snaps if need be. Although this situation is a tough one all around, there could be a bright spot. 

Chez Mellusi Could Return to the Wisconsin Football Program in 2024

Since Mellusi sustained his injury during the fourth game of the season, Badger fans shouldn’t rule out a sixth-year return from the standout tailback.

Although Mellusi didn’t see starter-level snaps during his time with Clemson, he never used a redshirt year. Plus, his sophomore season was impacted due to the COVID-19 pandemic, giving him another year of eligibility. 

So, the choice for Mellusi comes down to focusing on his health and looking to sign with an NFL team as a UDFA or moving on to the next phase of his life outside of football. On the other hand, he could return for a sixth year to boost his draft stock. It certainly wouldn’t hurt Wisconsin, who is looking at Allen potentially heading to the NFL draft after the season and having an influx of young running backs coming into the fold, such as Darrion Dupree, Dilin Jones, and Gideon Ituka.

Although Mellusi’s injury is devastating for a number of reasons, there is a small bright spot in that we could see him don the cardinal and white one more time. 

Wisconsin is now headed into the bye week starting 3-1 on the season. They’ll take on Rutgers on October 7th in Madison as both teams look to improve to 4-1. 


Contact/Follow us @Badger_Notes on Twitter, Subscribe to the BadgerNotes Newsletter here. Also, like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Wisconsin football news, notes, opinion, and analysis. You can also follow Jake Maier on Twitter @JakeJMaier.

Continue Reading

Football

Wisconsin Football Defensive Snap Counts & PFF Grades vs. Purdue

Published

on

Wisconsin football; Badgers defensive end James Thompson Jr.
Sep 22, 2023; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Wisconsin Badgers defensive end James Thompson Jr. (90) celebrates after sacking Purdue Boilermakers quarterback Hudson Card (1) during the first half at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Goddin-USA TODAY Sports

Luke Fickell and the Wisconsin Badgers football team (3-1, 1-0 B1G) kicked off Big Ten play with a 38-17 victory over Ryan Walters and the Purdue Boilermakers at Ross-Ade Stadium on Friday night

In this post-game recap, we dissect the performance of the Wisconsin Badgers by analyzing their snap counts and Pro Football Focus (PFF) grades for each position group — and include a few stats that help add context to the ole eye test. 

By analyzing these metrics, we can gain a clearer insight into the individual contributions of each unit to the team’s overall performance. While you can’t take these figures as gospel, this allows us to identify strengths, key contributors, and areas where Wisconsin football excelled.

Let’s dive in. 

Wisconsin Football Defensive Snap Counts & PFF Grades

Wisconsin Badgers football

Purdue Boilermakers wide receiver TJ Sheffield (8) is tackled by a group of Wisconsin Badgers players during the NCAA football game, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023, at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Ind. Wisconsin Badgers won 38-17.

Defensive Line:

Rodas Johnson – Snap Count: [36] – PFF Grade: [47.4]

James Thomspon – Snap Count: [35] – PFF Grade: [64.6]

Darian Varner – Snap Count: [15] – PFF Grade: [62.1]

***

Gio Paez – Snap Count: [23] – PFF Grade: [44.1]

Curt Neal – Snap Count: [19] – PFF Grade: [49.0]

Ben Barten – Snap Count: [16] – PFF Grade: [59.4]

Inside Linebackers:

Jake Chaney – Snap Count: [71] – PFF Grade: [61.2]

Jordan Turner – Snap Count: [70] – PFF Grade: [48.8]

*Maema Njongmeta – Snap Count: [1?] – PFF Grade: [N/A]

Outside Linebackers:

C.J. Goetz – Snap Count: [53] – PFF Grade: [55.0]

Darryl Peterson – Snap Count: [45] – PFF Grade: [56.6]

Jeff Pietrowski – Snap Count: [14] – PFF Grade: [55.6]

Kaden Johnson – Snap Count: [5] – PFF Grade: [79.1]

Cornerbacks:

Ricardo Hallman – Snap Count: [71] – PFF Grade: [69.2]

Jason Maitre – Snap Count: [69] – PFF Grade: [58.2]

Alexander Smith – Snap Count: [50] – PFF Grade: [74.9]

Nyzier Fourqurean – Snap Count: [21] – PFF Grade: [56.0]

Safeties:

Hunter Wohler – Snap Count: [71] – PFF Grade: [71.6]

Kamo’i Latu – Snap Count: [36] – PFF Grade: [59.7]

Preston Zachman – Snap Count: [61] – PFF Grade: [53.6]

Defensive Analysis:

The most peculiar thing about Wisconsin football beating Purdue on Friday night was senior inside linebacker Maema Njongmeta essentially not playing at all. Full disclosure: I didn’t notice it until somebody pointed it out — but he appeared to see the field for one snap on fourth down late in the game. Luke Fickell said he was available — and I have a hard time believing something more isn’t going on here — but I guess we’ll have to wait and see. 

The safety rotation was also somewhat bizarre to me for several reasons: Travian Blaylock sat in favor of a heavy dosage of Preston Zachman. I was also disappointed that Austin Brown couldn’t build off a strong performance against Georgia Southern. 

I don’t need to get super in-depth on this one, but the defensive front seven was BAD. James Thompson Jr. is quickly becoming a stud on the defensive line — but other than him — there weren’t any individual performances to write home about. Nobody on the Wisconsin football defense registered more than two pressures on the night, and the Badgers finished with 16 total. 

Lastly, a Wisconsin Badgers defense that’s struggled with giving up chunk plays all season (bottom third in the NCAA) also has a huge tackling issue — and was credited with 16 missed tackles as a team. This Wisconsin football defense isn’t talented enough to overcome these sloppy mistakes and is a clear point of emphasis to clean up during the bye week.

Wisconsin Football Offensive Snap Counts & PFF Grades vs. Purdue



Contact/Follow us @Badger_Notes on Twitter, Subscribe to the BadgerNotes Newsletter here, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Wisconsin Badgers football news, notes, opinion, and analysis. You can also follow Dillon Graff on Twitter @DillonGraff.

Follow this link and use promo code: BADGERNOTES for 25% off your next True Classic order.

Join the Badger Notes watch party and stream Wisconsin Badgers games by following this link.

*Subscribe to BadgerNotes After Dark on Youtube and wherever you find podcasts, the official Wisconsin Badgers podcast of the Big Banter Sports Network.

Continue Reading

Football

Wisconsin Football Falls Outside the Top 25 in Week 4 SP+ Rankings

Published

on

Wisconsin football; Badgers head coach Luke Fickell
Sep 22, 2023; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Wisconsin Badgers head coach Luke Fickell look on prior to the start of the game at Ross-Ade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Goddin-USA TODAY Sports

On Friday night, Wisconsin Football laid down a 21-point victory in their Big Ten Conference opener against Purdue; now, the Badgers sit outside the top 25 in the AP polls with a 3-1 record (1-0 Big Ten) heading into a Week 5 bye before taking on Rutgers. 

The ESPN SP+ rankings were updated following the Week 4 slate, and the Cardinal and White slipped in the latest polls despite their 38-17 triumph over the Boilermakers.  

Wisconsin Football Falls Outside the Top 25 in Updated SP+ Rankings

For anyone unfamiliar with the ESPN SP+ model, it’s not your father’s associated press top 25 poll. It’s a forward-facing, Predictive model that serves as a tempo and opponent-adjusted measure of efficiency.

With that out of the way, the Week 4 SP+ rankings currently have Wisconsin football as the No. 27 team in the country — down two spots from last week. According to the metric, the Badgers have an overall grade of 13.2, with the No. 39 offense, No. 18 defense, and No. 4 special teams unit.

Other notable Big Ten programs in the SP+ top 10 include Michigan (1), Ohio State (3), and Penn State (10).

When the Badgers come out of the bye week, Wisconsin football begins a tough stretch of games against Rutgers, Iowa, Illinois, and Ohio State. Let’s hope the coaching staff can make necessary defensive adjustments, clean up the penalties on offense, and work in the younger running backs who must fill the No. 2 role after losing Chez Mellusi for the season.

Good, Bad and Ugly From Wisconsin Football 38-17 Win Over Purdue



Contact/Follow us @Badger_Notes on Twitter, Subscribe to the BadgerNotes Newsletter here, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Wisconsin Badgers football news, notes, opinion, and analysis. You can also follow Dillon Graff on Twitter @DillonGraff.

Follow this link and use promo code: BADGERNOTES for 25% off your next True Classic order.

Join the Badger Notes watch party and stream Wisconsin Badgers games by following this link.

*Subscribe to BadgerNotes After Dark on Youtube and wherever you find podcasts, the official Wisconsin Badgers podcast of the Big Banter Sports Network.

Continue Reading

Trending