Oct 8, 2022; Evanston, Illinois, USA; A general view of a Wisconsin Badgers helmet during a game against the Northwestern Wildcats at Ryan Field. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN’s FPI projection for Wisconsin Badgers contest vs. Nebraska

ESPN’s FPI projection for Wisconsin Badgers contest vs. Nebraska

The Wisconsin Badgers (5-5, 3-4 Big Ten) enter Saturday’s road contest against the Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-7, 2-5 Big Ten) as 13-point favorites and are looking to regroup after a disappointing 24-10 loss to the Iowa Hawkeyes this past weekend.

Ahead of Saturday’s matchup, ESPN’s FPI model gives Wisconsin a 74.7% chance of winning on the road against the Cornhuskers in Lincoln.

This projection makes sense on paper, but this seems a little steep, given Wisconsin’s lackluster performance this past weekend.

Each program has endured its fair share of struggles this season and saw their respective head coaches, Paul Chryst and Scott Frost, fired as a result.

Losers of four straight, Nebraska can’t seem to get much of anything going on either side of the ball. Mickey Joseph and company are averaging 15.5 points per game during their losing streak and an abysmal 8.3 points over their last three games. The Huskers also enter with the No. 13 ranked defense in the Big Ten, allowing 438 yards per game.

Wisconsin Badgers 

UW needs a win in mid-November to remain bowl eligible, a sentence I never expected to write when the season began.

For Wisconsin, I’d love to see the Badgers come out and continue playing attacking defense like we’ve seen the past couple of weeks. With several key players getting healthy, Jim Leonhard’s unit has begun to gel and is currently the No. 6 defense in the Big Ten and No. 14 in the country.

Additionally, UW’s offense has to find a way to put last weekend’s performance behind them and play with some intention. The Big Ten West is seemingly out of reach. Still, bowl eligibility is on the line, and Wisconsin currently has the third-longest streak of consecutive Bowl appearances they need to protect – which matters.

If everything goes the way it should, I expect Wisconsin wins a close one on the road.

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